Obama's Economics

Unadulterated Hogwash!

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          Exactly what basic training one receives in economics at Harvard's Law School, or as a community organizer in Chicago is not entirely clear, but it is fundamentally flawed.  A basic economics lesson might be learned from those countries in Africa in which wealth envy has resulted in decimating the only productive parts of each country.  Driving farmers off their lands produces its own poetic justice: starvation, poverty and chaos.   The ensuing frustration unleashes genocide, massive migration, and a dead economy.  If the African model is to be instituted here, it appears that much of the early groundwork is already being prepared.  Those with wealth in America are being driven into hiding.

          Obama's 2010 budget entitled  A New Era of Responsibility is his master plan for restoring the American dream.  The following excerpts capture Obama's economic philosophy.  His statements appear in the inserted boxes with page references.

The time has come to usher in a new era—a new era of responsibility in which we act not only to save and create new jobs, but also to lay a new foundation of growth upon which we can renew the promise of America.  (page 1)

            While this statement on the surface inspires confidence, the fundamental belief that America needs a new foundation of growth, that the old foundation is defective, is a frightening opening remark.  Some of this new foundation is captured in the following belief:

The past eight years have discredited once and for all the philosophy of trickle-down economics—that tax breaks, income gains, and wealth creation among the wealthy eventually will work their way down to the middle class. In its place, we need economic opportunity to trickle up. (page 17)

          An economic belief that wealth trickles up, as from the ownership of land, sounds more like wealth envy, African style.   In this system, owners are interchangeable parts to be determined by the posse in power at the time.  When the powers can suspend ownership, cancel contracts, and ignore trade agreements, all freedoms of an individual are for sale.  This is the despotic disposition of the powers in Washington today.  

          While Obama's budget glosses over any distinction between income and wealth, he minces no words about the once and for all failure of trickle down economics.  While trickling up or down is a clever analogy from the physical sciences, an economy doesn't trickle, it works.  Those who work profit from their work.  An economy is the composite of all those who work to produce a living. 

          Those who do not work do not profit from the economic system, except through the generosity of those who do.  This is Basic Economics 101, and reveals the fundamental difference between the American dream and the new foundation Obama seems intent upon building. 

          Accepting the central position of work in an economy, the next question which must be addressed is what, exactly, is supposed to trickle up from the bottom.  There is no wealth at the bottom.  There is no work at the bottom.  There is only welfare and despair as free gifts in an economy of human entitlements.  Those who work are expected to share their return equally with those who do not work, and the government is the middle man, the mechanism through which this fairness works.  The key word here is equally. 

          This is precisely the economic system instituted in Russia with the guidance of Marxist philosophy.  Their economy, run by the government, failed after many decades.  Their former economy was filled with shortages of essentials, limitations on all services, and equality for all who are not an integral part of the ruling class.  The ruling class, of course, consisted of 2-5% of the population, and the rules they instituted did not apply to them, only their subjects, often referred to in the black community as slaves.  They cleverly referred to the slaves as the peoples' party.  Nancy Pelosi and Maxine Waters have already assumed their roles as commissars of this new ruling class. 

          Following Russia's economic collapse their new foundation, based upon a system of incentives through working to get ahead, renewed Russia's economy over the past two decades.  Wealth through working in Russia was a revolution for the man on the street, and equality regardless of effort was cast aside.   While Russia may be slipping back into despotism with Putin's vital assistance, the mass disappearances, killings, and imprisonments of those who disagree have been minimized during the past two decades.   

          Obama's wealth envy demonizes work, and substitutes entitlement in its place, as though money, like manna, grows on trees.  His new foundation, change he believes in, is anchored in the following fundamental belief:

There is nothing wrong with people succeeding and making money. But there is something wrong when the opportunity for all Americans to get ahead, to enter the middle class, and to create a better life for their children becomes more and more elusive. That is what has been happening: The ladder into the middle class and beyond has become harder and harder to climb. The American dream has slowly slipped beyond the grasp of millions as we have deliberately ignored the very investments in our people that strengthen the middle class and neglected the drivers of economic growth that will sustain our economy for the long run. (page 9)

          This declarative statement is unadulterated hogwash.  It is unsupported by any substantial evidence of any kind.  Has the American dream slowly slipped beyond the grasp of millions??  Obama's reference concerning wealth focuses upon income, not wealth.  Our president should clearly acknowledge the difference between income and wealth, but little evidence suggests he does.  His primary argument for this declining opportunity he presents in Figure 8 (p 10).

This was the first economic recovery since World War II where real median household income did not rise above its previous peak . Between 2000 and 2007, median income among households headed by those under 65 fell by $1,951.

 

(Green and red lines added courtesy of the author)

          The real economics lesson from Figure 8 should focus upon the actual contents of the overall chart.  Three family groups are charted by median income from 1967  to 2007, a period of 40 years.  These groups show family heads by age, 25 - 34, 35 - 44, and 45 - 54.  These line graphs characterize groups of  young families, middle aged families, and more mature families that work for a living a decade at a time.  The variation in elevation is caused by business or economic cycles.  The lines reflect cross sectional data, not dynamic data based upon the demographics of individual effort. 

          One may focus exclusively upon the downward slope of the three lines to the right of the red vertical line, as Obama has done, and conclude that all is lost.  One dynamic of this table is reflected by the green line drawn from 1976 to 1996, a twenty year period.  Individuals who work for 20 straight years would move, on the average, from the lower line to the upper line.  The slope of this line is almost as great as that shown during the up-swing portions of income within most business cycles.  This represents substantial income increases with age, rather than the loss Obama carved out of the chart. 

         A starkly different conclusion is supported by this change of focus on the same graph.  Such a dramatic change in focus is one we can believe in, and one that requires no new foundation for success.  This increase in income with age of those who work is shown visually in the following bar graph: (Information based upon CLRSearch.com as reported in Riverside, CA, National Income Information 2008)

          Curiously, Obama's reference to difficulty rising is to the middle class, not to wealth.  It is probably, but not universally true, that rising to the middle class with little education, limited ambition, and without working is a steep climb.  Indeed, there is no ladder for this climb at all.  One may add multiple children out of wedlock and the die of probability is cast straight into poverty.  Yet in America a large number of folks rise like the Phoenix out of the ashes of poverty into all upper income and wealth accumulation levels, and most do so legally.  When you know a few of these individuals, you know the American dream is not dead.  One would undoubtedly discover this reality even on Chicago's south side.  More than likely, these successes have moved away, and only return for an occasional visit to their roots. 

           Obama's alleged inequality, and his policy of fairness through redistribution focuses upon the level of entitlement comparing those who work and do well with those who do not work, but still want the benefits.  This is not the American dream, but Obama's vision for the American Socialist Republic.  None of the above identifies actual wealth or where it comes from, an important economics lesson which is totally absent from his master plan for restoring the American dream. 

For the better part of three decades, a disproportionate share of the Nation’s wealth has been accumulated by the very wealthy. Technological advances and growing global competition, while transforming whole industries—and birthing new ones—has accentuated the trend toward rising inequality. yet, instead of using the tax code to lessen these increasing wage disparities, changes in the tax code over the past eight years exacerbated them. (page 9)

        If Obama were an ardent reader of the Wall Street Journal, he would know that based upon income alone, the highest 20% of income earners paid 65% of all income taxes, the same amount as the other four income groups combined.  This was in 2003.  Throughout the Bush years, their contribution through taxes increased, rather than decreased as a portion of total income taxes.  Obama is simply barking up the wrong tree by looking at income to support his wealth redistribution scheme.  Increasing annual wage disparities are the mark of wealth, the only pot of gold available to invest in America.   Wealth, as in Africa, is not a demon to be slayed. 

          What should be understood is that actual wealth is not on display anywhere above.  Income may certainly contribute, but the accumulation of wealth is largely an independent quality.  America and the American dream is the breeding ground of thousands of new millionaires every year. The dream is alive and well, but wealth should be understood in the gut.  Proportionately, very few millionaires inherit their wealth from family or family businesses.  Most are home grown and achieve success through dedication, hard work, endless toil, and a cluster of well developed skills.  Wealth envy, like that implied by Obama's policies, undermines the incentives to engage in wealth building.  Such disincentives encourage individuals to move off shore to grow or conserve wealth. 

The Growth of Wealth

          Wealth is not on display anywhere in Obama's Table 8 above.  Wealth is an accumulation of savings over time, from year to year.  Households that spend all their annual income on living expenses save nothing.  Those who live beyond their means accumulate debt, or eat into earlier savings.  Only those whose expenses are less than their income accumulate savings each year, and over many years may grow a nest egg.  When savings are invested successfully, they may grow independently of ones earnings from employment.  This is easier said than done, but it is the hope. 

          The following table shows the distribution of household income in percentages and by quartile.  The eight bars from the left represent household incomes in $25,000 increments.  The 9th bar represents all households with greater than $200,000 annual incomes.  While it is possible for households with smaller incomes to save, the greater the household income the easier it is to generate savings.  It follows that those with incomes in the fourth quartile (Q4) discover it is much easier to generate savings on a consistent basis.  They are also far more likely to have a substantial excess of income over expenses on a consistent basis. 

          Wealth follows from accumulating annual savings year after year, and reinvesting these savings into a profitable return.  This is the American dream, and the man on the street, particularly those who flock to this country from abroad, know what it is based upon.  (Information based upon CLRSearch.com as reported in Riverside, CA, National Income Information 2008)

           It is easy to generate wealth envy from simply plotting oneself on the scale of annual earnings above without considering the factors that contribute to high annual incomes.  Exactly how does it happen that households can earn far more than they need each year?  The short answer is that they have been saving for many years, and are managing successful investments with their savings.  The other answer is that they have achieved a somewhat special set of skills through education, training, dedication, and many hours of hard work.  The general rule is that these are the country's high achievers, those who are willing to do what works to get ahead.  They have no aversion to hard work, and harbor little sense of entitlement. 

           A large proportion of households in Q4 have two fulltime income earners.  They get ahead because they both work.  They are most likely married couples, have fewer children, have achieved a higher level of education in select fields, and they have no problem putting in long hours at the office, at home, or on the road. 

          After forty years of saving consistently and investing those savings into America's growth opportunities, the wealthy richly deserve what they have earned.  The generous investment of their savings in America's future is the goose that lays the golden egg.  Any attempt to belittle, begrudge, or be envious of their investment is both mean spirited and misguided. 

          Hello! Obama.  Name one thing you have done to date that encourages the development of wealth in America, or that encourages those with savings to invest in America's future.  As poor as they may be, the Chinese people are among the hardest workers, the highest savers in the world, and their savings through hard work makes their economy boom.  They know their government does little or nothing to secure their individual futures, their health, or their happiness.  It would be nice if Washington's cradle to the grave mentality could learn this lesson. 

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